• Skip to main content
  • Skip to footer

RockDen Advisors

Wealth advisory & investment management

  • About
  • Insights
  • Contact
  • Client Login

yield curve

May 27, 2023 By Asi de Silva

We Still Prefer Bonds

We still prefer bonds despite the frustratingly flat YTD performance (aggregate bond ETF), and despite our longer-term skepticism. The flow of soft economic data continues to make a recession a high probability. Recent revisions to labor data and the banking stress have raised confidence in the cautious view. In our 2023 Outlook, we highlighted a […]

Filed Under: News, The Dispatch Tagged With: bankruptcies, BLS revisions, debt ceiling, Debt to GDP, debt wall, default recoveries, defaults, earnings estimates, equity futures, equity positioning, equity valuations, financial repression, LEIs, rate hikes, ratings downgrades, Recession, S&P earnings, unemployment, US debt service, yield curve, yield curve inversion

February 4, 2023 By Asi de Silva

Debt Ceiling & Liquidity

The current debt ceiling morass should add liquidity into the economy and markets in the short term. The added liquidity, along with Fed pivot enthusiasm, is clearly supporting higher asset prices currently. This is ironic as not resolving the debt ceiling in a timely manner increases market risk, and it highlights the unsustainable debt picture […]

Filed Under: News, The Dispatch Tagged With: BoJ, debt ceiling, earnings estimates, equity positioning, equity valuations, Estimate revisions, financial conditions, Japanese flows, Kuroda, LEIs, retail sentiment, S&P, S&P earnings, TGA, YCC, yield curve

December 3, 2022 By Asi de Silva

Fed’s 2% Inflation Target

It is clear to us that inflation has peaked, but getting inflation down to the Fed’s 2% target will be a challenge. It’ll be a challenge for our overly indebted world to sustain 5-6% interest rates for a prolonged period, which is the Fed’s guidance. However, there’s plenty of financial liquidity sitting on the sidelines […]

Filed Under: News, The Dispatch Tagged With: Birth-death model, CPI, CPI components, inflation, Jobs report, JOLTS, NFIB, sticky price inflation, unemployment, yield curve

June 30, 2022 By Asi de Silva

Market Tea Leaves for 2H22

As July approaches, let’s read the market tea leaves for 2H2022 and beyond. Over the past few weeks, markets have priced a broader growth scare as commodity equities sold off sharply and Treasuries priced a lower and earlier peak in Fed Funds rate. However, bonds markets were blind to the inflation surge, so why should […]

Filed Under: News, The Dispatch Tagged With: 3AC, Blockfi, bond volatility, buffett indicator, CAPE ratio, Celcius Network, Celsius, Commodities, commodity inflation, crypto winter, earnings estimates, equity valuations, FTX, Gucci, inflation, inventory spike, LooksRare, move index, NFTs, Paypal, profit margins, rents, S&P earnings, SBF, shelter inflation, sticky price inflation, Uniswap, Voyager, wage inflation, yield curve

April 9, 2022 By Asi de Silva

Explosion of Crypto Legislation Proposals

There has been an explosion of crypto legislation proposals from US politicians. The bogeyman of late has been sanctions evasion, even though the Treasury Department has repeatedly said that there’s no sign of evasion via crypto. Many of these proposals are unlikely to see the light of day in current form in our polarized political […]

Filed Under: News, The Dispatch Tagged With: bitcoin funding rate, bitcoin futures, bitcoin futures margin, China lockdowns, crypto hack, crypto legislation, crypto tax, diesel price, Elizabeth Warren, energy security, Gary Gensler, LNG, Lummis, mortgage rate, Recession, Ronin hack, S&P, SEC, shipping rates, SPR, yield curve

  • Page 1
  • Page 2
  • Go to Next Page »

Footer

  • LinkedIn
  • Twitter
  • Disclosure

Copyright © 2025 RockDen Advisors · by My Project Solution