As July approaches, let’s read the market tea leaves for 2H2022 and beyond. Over the past few weeks, markets have priced a broader growth scare as commodity equities sold off sharply and Treasuries priced a lower and earlier peak in Fed Funds rate. However, bonds markets were blind to the inflation surge, so why should […]
wage inflation
Signs of Market Froth
Signs of market froth are rising in both digital and traditional assets. As we show, 10-20% fees on transaction value makes no economic sense, but that is the reality on Ethereum today. This points to expectation of higher asset prices offsetting the punitive fee. Rivian, the recently IPOed electric vehicle maker, reached a $150bn market […]
US Inflation Upswing Remains
US inflation upswing remains in place even as the Federal Reserve says it’s transitory and announced a only a gradual reduction of QE. This means the Fed will only slow the purchase of Treasury Securities, with the balance sheet continuing to grow until ~June 2022. Despite the Fed dismissing inflation risks, the key indicators followed […]