This Dispatch updates our US recession and earnings outlook. Forward-looking macro indicators like the LEI point to further slowing. June Quarter ex-energy earnings declined YoY, and Wall Street is finally starting to cut estimates. Yet, the dominant narrative we hear is that that earnings are growing, and valuations are now attractive. As we’ve previously written […]
retail sentiment
Weaponizing Financial Assets
Weaponizing financial assets by sanctioning the Central Bank is an extraordinarily powerful tool against Russian aggression. However, we should be mindful of potential longer-term second-order effects. Nation states are likely to rethink their reserve strategies so that they have control of reserve assets. Digital assets provide direct ownership (your asset is no one else’s liability) […]