This Dispatch updates our US recession and earnings outlook. Forward-looking macro indicators like the LEI point to further slowing. June Quarter ex-energy earnings declined YoY, and Wall Street is finally starting to cut estimates. Yet, the dominant narrative we hear is that that earnings are growing, and valuations are now attractive. As we’ve previously written […]
bear market
Crypto Selloff Exposed Incompetence
The 2022 crypto selloff exposed the incompetence and hubris in many traditional crypto companies. For example, Celsius had a $1.2bn balance sheet hole on client assets of $4.7bn by the time it filed for bankruptcy. Listed Canadian company Voyager had to declare bankruptcy because it provided a loan of $674m with zero collateral. Other companies […]