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bond yield

December 18, 2021 By Asi de Silva

Peak Market Uncertainty in 2022

We face peak market uncertainty in 2022 as rate hikes give way to 2021’s easy liquidy. The Fed will stop expanding the balance sheet by March 2022 and it plans three rate hikes next year. This assumes core inflation falling sharply, whereas we see core inflation staying high even as headline inflation eases next year. […]

Filed Under: Blog, News, The Dispatch Tagged With: bitcoin pricing model, bond yield, buybacks, CAPE ratio, central bank liquidity, china equities, China Junk bonds, china macro, China policy, China RE policy, crypto adoption, crypto outlook, equity valuations, Evergrande, fund inflows, insider selling, options activity, retail speculation, yield curve

March 7, 2021 By Asi de Silva

Why yields rise, Wall Street bitcoin adoption & bitcoin skeptics.

Dispatch #7 – 5 March, 20201 I was hoping to write about something other than yields this week, but the issue isn’t going away quietly! If yields rise, it is likely to dominate all asset markets, with the US$ rising along with higher US yields and risks markets selling off. Equity markets did rally on […]

Filed Under: The Dispatch Tagged With: bitcoin adoption, bitcoin institutional adoption, bitcoin skeptics, bond yield, Citibank, inflation, inflation expectations, JPM, NY AG, repo

February 28, 2021 By Asi de Silva

Dispatch #5 – Bitcoin at $1 trillion, BlackRock “dabbles”, JPM’s 86pg report…

This week (Feb 15th) bitcoin’s market value rose above $1 trillion, but short-term indicators are flashing red. This issue digs into the following additional events that point to continued institutional and individual adoption. Microstrategy (NASDAQ – MSTR) issues ~ $1bn bond to buy bitcoin – bond excess! BlackRock’s Chief Investment Officer (CIO) said they are […]

Filed Under: The Dispatch Tagged With: BlackRock, bond yield, crypto research, JP Morgan, JPM, Microstrategy, negative yields

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