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china macro

September 19, 2023 By Asi de Silva

China Economic Slowdown

The China economic slowdown is well documented, and foreign investors have been notable net sellers of the country. This post looks at the economy’s overreliance on investments, the need to stimulate consumption and tactical near-term positives. As fundamental analysts that have followed China since the 1990s, The Dispatch can’t get excited about doubling down on […]

Filed Under: News, The Dispatch Tagged With: china consumption, china debt, china economy, china equities, china GDP, china growth, china LGFV, china macro, China policy, China RE policy, China sentiment, china stocks, China valuations, MSCI China, President Xi

December 18, 2021 By Asi de Silva

Peak Market Uncertainty in 2022

We face peak market uncertainty in 2022 as rate hikes give way to 2021’s easy liquidy. The Fed will stop expanding the balance sheet by March 2022 and it plans three rate hikes next year. This assumes core inflation falling sharply, whereas we see core inflation staying high even as headline inflation eases next year. […]

Filed Under: Blog, News, The Dispatch Tagged With: bitcoin pricing model, bond yield, buybacks, CAPE ratio, central bank liquidity, china equities, China Junk bonds, china macro, China policy, China RE policy, crypto adoption, crypto outlook, equity valuations, Evergrande, fund inflows, insider selling, options activity, retail speculation, yield curve

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