The S&P just recorded its best month since November 2020, so it’s worth asking if stocks have bottomed. Bear market rallies are normal, and we do not believe the bottom has been reached for this cycle. If the low was reached in June, then it would be the most expensive valuation (PE) bottom. Furthermore, earnings have yet to be cut meaningfully. Recessions have almost always led to large earnings reductions and we anticipate cuts in the 2H as macro conditions only really tightened in May and June.
Crypto Yield has been muzzled as BlockFi pulls offering in the US after settling with the SEC and states. This follows the SEC litigation threat against Coinbase’s proposed Lend product. You bet other companies offering crypto yield will be in the SEC’s crosshairs. Crypto yield offerings are both innovative and complicated. The products have provided […]
Dispatch #7 – 5 March, 20201 I was hoping to write about something other than yields this week, but the issue isn’t going away quietly! If yields rise, it is likely to dominate all asset markets, with the US$ rising along with higher US yields and risks markets selling off. Equity markets did rally on […]