The Fed follows Biden on inflation with Chair Jay Powell articulating a faster taper this week. There has not been any new material inflation data since the Fed announced gradual taper plans, but the Biden administration has pivoted to an inflation focus. However, with rising inflation, high valuations and policy rates near zero, we are […]
Signs of Market Froth
Signs of market froth are rising in both digital and traditional assets. As we show, 10-20% fees on transaction value makes no economic sense, but that is the reality on Ethereum today. This points to expectation of higher asset prices offsetting the punitive fee. Rivian, the recently IPOed electric vehicle maker, reached a $150bn market […]
Fed start talking about thinking about tapering!
Dispatch #20 -2021 June 18th, 2021 This week, the Fed disclosed that their rate expectations have risen to 0.60% by the end of 2023 from near zero previously. This caught some markets by surprise and could well be a dress rehearsal of market action if the Fed brings forward rate hikes. In the short-term, bonds […]
Fed tapering QE, India okays crypto & Stablecoins mature
Dispatch #18 -2021 June 4th, 2021 The Dispatch starts this week by evaluating Fed tapering QE, which will slow the pace of money creation. Markets have been anticipating Fed taper, but the announcement this week may be too small to be picked up broadly. Nevertheless, it is an important inflection point and a trend reversal […]