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Market Updates

May 21, 2022 By Asi de Silva

The Earnings Shoe Dropped

The earnings shoe dropped this week following notable earnings misses by Walmart and Target. This led to a significant sell-off, as the market started to question the current estimates of robust earnings growth in 2022 (+10.2%) and 2023 (+10.1%). This also means that stock valuations aren’t as attractive as forward PE estimates suggest. The Fed […]

Filed Under: Market Updates, News Tagged With: bitcoin on-chain data, bitcoin valuation, carbon credit, crypto correlation, earnings estimates, equity valuations, EU ETS, financial conditions, S&P, S&P earnings

May 14, 2022 By Asi de Silva

Bitcoin is Coming to Retirement Plans

Bitcoin is coming to 401(k) retirement plans as Fidelity hopes to offer access to the 23,000 plans it administers. This move by the largest plan administrator, with $2.7tn in plan assets, should drive long-term bitcoin adoption. It will not, however, change the bear market that is currently underway in many assets. The pain in crypto […]

Filed Under: Market Updates, News Tagged With: 4% retirement rule, bitcoin 401(k), bitcoin adoption, CAPE ratio, crypto 401K, crypto hack, energy capex, equity valuations, Fidelity, home prices, housing affordability, LUNA, S&P, SEC, SEC crypto compliance, sec crypto enforcement, Terra, US housing, UST, UST depeg

April 16, 2022 By Asi de Silva

US Housing Market Should Cool

US housing market should cool, due to spiking mortgage rates, but a 2008 type collapse is unlikely. The mortgage market has remained resolutely fixed rate during the current bull market, which underpins our sanguine outlook. Yes, there are signs of excess, but there’s no risk of monthly payment ballooning considering that variable rate funding is […]

Filed Under: Market Updates, News Tagged With: Commodities, commodity demand, CryptoPunks, equity positioning, goods consumption, home prices, inflation, mortgage, mortgage rate, NFT collateral, NFT loans, NFTs, US housing, used auto prices, wealth effect

April 9, 2022 By Asi de Silva

Explosion of Crypto Legislation Proposals

There has been an explosion of crypto legislation proposals from US politicians. The bogeyman of late has been sanctions evasion, even though the Treasury Department has repeatedly said that there’s no sign of evasion via crypto. Many of these proposals are unlikely to see the light of day in current form in our polarized political […]

Filed Under: Market Updates, News Tagged With: bitcoin funding rate, bitcoin futures, bitcoin futures margin, China lockdowns, crypto hack, crypto legislation, crypto tax, diesel price, Elizabeth Warren, energy security, Gary Gensler, LNG, Lummis, mortgage rate, Recession, Ronin hack, S&P, SEC, shipping rates, SPR, yield curve

March 12, 2022 By Asi de Silva

Crypto Executive Order Embraces The Industry

President Biden’s crypto executive order embraces the industry and illustrates how digital assets have become mainstream. It’s surreal to hear “the rise in digital assets creates an opportunity to reinforce American leadership in the global financial system and at the technological frontier…” coming from the White House. The various government departments and agencies are instructed […]

Filed Under: Market Updates Tagged With: Andre Cronje, CPI, crypto executive order, crypto regulation, EU crypto ban, government surveillance, inflation, OER, PoW ban, rent inflation distortion, rents, shelter inflation

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